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We once talked about success and failure, during which time he relayed what someone in India had said to him: “Only if there is a large problem is there a large opportunity.”

Roux laughed out loud, which he did often, and then said: “Isn’t that wonderful? That is now my auto-signature at the bottom of my emails from my iPad, because I think it is so valid.”

It’s a maxim he lived by, and which helped him build an industry. And as a result, the legacy he leaves behind is enormous.

Antoine Roux, head of MIH Internet at Naspers, has passed away. A person that I really would have wanted to meet. Rest in peace.

Daily Maverick – Bittersweet week in the life of SA’s media giant

Luxurious digital products

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A month or so ago I was interviewed about the future of luxury. Not exactly my regular topic of expertise, but I wrote a piece about it for David Report in 2007 and it still ranks high on Google. It seems not much future has happened there for a while.

Either way, I came to think about it when I read this article in The Economist about counterfeits. It refers to studies around purchasing counterfeited luxury goods and the attitudes that Chinese consumers have towards it. This paragraph stood out:

If a customer falls for a fake, they obviously lose out. That is a clear example of malconsumption. But many buyers are not duped by their purchase; they want their purchase to fool everyone else. No doubt they often succeed, passing off a counterfeit good as the real thing. But in China, fakes are so widespread, the opposite danger also looms: genuine articles may be mistaken for fakes.

When fake products become the standard it seems to devalue the original product. There is no point in purchasing the original if no one, apart from you, knows that it is any different from the other fakes. This in turn poses the question what actually defines luxury and what driving forces that are behind it. What attributes does a product have to have in order to be perceived as more valuable than others?

I’ve been thinking a lot about this when it comes to digital products and software. Seeing as they are easily copied, the line of reasoning above would suggest that their value would decrease. Would that then mean that a luxurious digital product is something that cannot be copied? Even if it were the case it would seem difficult to ensure that the copying couldn’t take place. A few creative industries have tried this approach fairly unsuccessfully. But if it was technically possible – would that per se create a luxurious digital product? Sounds unlikely.

Another take on it could be that digital manifestations of your own accomplishments could be considered luxurious, or at least admirable – assuming that you buy into the manifesting system being correct. You need to trust Nike+ in order to be impressed by someone’s run on Facebook.

The perceived value (in terms of willingness to pay) of digital products by consumers tends to be low. But considering the lack of effort that seems to have been put into changing this matter by people creating the products (and I’m including myself in that category), perhaps this is not especially surprising. Surely it cannot be that software is one of the few realms where the notion of luxury, in whatever shape or form, is not applicable? 

So here’s to finding the intangible qualities that could differentiate the experience and perception of a digital product. If you have any thoughts, I’d be more than grateful to hear them. I’ll be making my own list too.

Nostradamus

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Making a good prediction is hard – even in the short term. Gartner knows this. However, what makes it good is not working out what is going to happen but rather when it will happen. Or even more interesting – when it will happen, why it happens just then – and what someone should or could do about it. That would be a good prediction.

Some examples of bad predictions are for instance saying that newspapers will die. That linear television will have a hard time. That e-books will take over. That iOS can’t maintain its current market position.

All of the above may be true, but without the correct parameter of time they are all fairly useless – and even more so, they are safe. There are tendencies for all of the above. So simply placing a bet saying that they will eventually happen and then take credit for the prediction when it does – well, that is a bit like Nostradamus. Keep it vague enough and sooner or later you’ll be right, to a certain extent.

I tip my hat to people like Horace Dediu and analysts like him. I’ll choose a faulty but honest prediction over a Nostradamus ditto any day. Because these analysts are taking a risk that could prove them wrong in public. I’m impressed by that. And they’re not just waiting long enough to eventually (claim to) be right.

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http://c.brightcove.com/services/viewer/federated_f9?isVid=1&isUI=1

In Halifax, Nova Scotia, Renena Joy explains how the iPad has helped her daughter Mackenzie use the Toca Boca apps for speech language therapy. Her daughter, like many other iPad users with special needs, doesn’t realize that she’s gaining skills because she’s having so much fun learning on her iPad.

(via Apple Reveals Its Inner Do-Gooder During WWDC Keynote [VIDEO])